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JCI, Week 5b

1/18/2006

Here's the updated JCI after Tuesday, including Illinois' loss to Indiana.

1. Duke 16-0, RPI: 1
2. Florida 16-0, RPI: 10
3. Pittsburgh 14-0, RPI: 6
4. Texas 15-2, RPI: 13
5. Memphis 15-2, RPI: 2
6. Connecticut 15-1, RPI: 16
7. Illinois 16-2, RPI: 5
8. George Washington 13-1, RPI: 58
9. Villanova 12-2, RPI: 4
10. Wisconsin 14-2, RPI: 3
11. Gonzaga 14-3, RPI: 9
12. North Carolina St 14-2, RPI: 26
13. Indiana 11-3, RPI: 11
14. Michigan St 13-4, RPI: 7
15. Iowa 13-4, RPI: 8
16. Ohio State 12-2, RPI: 24
17. Syracuse 15-3, RPI: 20
18. Xavier 11-2, RPI: 33
19. Northern Iowa 14-3, RPI: 15
20. Tennessee 11-2, RPI: 14
21. Cincinnati 12-4, RPI: 19
22. Bucknell 11-3, RPI: 27
23. Michigan 11-3, RPI: 40
24. West Virginia 12-3, RPI: 51
25. UCLA 14-3, RPI: 12
26. Washington 14-2, RPI: 36
27. Maryland 11-4, RPI: 22
28. Wichita St 13-4, RPI: 28
29. Vanderbilt 11-3, RPI: 29
30. LSU 9-5, RPI: 45

Rock, Chalk...

Do you think we'll have a NCAA tournament without Kansas this year?  They're currently 99th in the JCI after their heartbreaking loss to Missouri.  I don't know what I'd enjoy more...seeing their very talented team not make the tourney, or see them make it and 'pull a Bucknell' in the first round like they did last year.  I remember being very upset along with every other Illini fan when Bill Self bolted for Kansas, but it was obviously the best thing that ever happened to the Illini program.

Check out the Jawhawk's current tourney resume:

Wins (9) Losses (6)
47 Kentucky 42 vs Arkansas
49 at Colorado 54 Nevada
109 vs California 56 vs Arizona
180 Pepperdine 78 Kansas St
189 Yale 86 at Missouri
221 New Orleans 91 vs Saint Joseph's
233 Idaho St
309 Western Illinois
319 Northern Colorado

Dickie V:

Normally I try to avoid this guy like the plague, but I couldn't avoid him last night during the Illinois-Indiana game.  I tried disconnecting the center speaker on my surround sound system, but ESPNHD pumps him out on the left and right front as well (doh!).

Dickie V generally has no idea what he's talking about, but one thing he did talk about was how there was no way that the Big East is the 4th best conference out there, according to the RPI (and further supported by the JCI).  He was basically saying that the Big East was slightly ahead of the Big Ten.  Sure, the Big East has some very good teams at the top, but that might have to do with the fact that they have 16 teams! If you take the top 4 teams in the Big East versus the top 4 teams in the Big Ten, the Big East might look better, but is this really a fair comparison?  The conference rankings average all of the teams in the conference.

With the JCI, you can compare the two conferences side-by-side.

Rk BIG TEN JCI Rk BIG EAST JCI
7 Illinois 0.9536 3 Pittsburgh 0.9851
10 Wisconsin 0.9381 6 Connecticut 0.9651
13 Indiana 0.9308 9 Villanova 0.9445
14 Michigan St 0.9228 17 Syracuse 0.9112
15 Iowa 0.9189 21 Cincinnati 0.8890
16 Ohio State 0.9120 24 West Virginia 0.8759
23 Michigan 0.8778 34 Marquette 0.8350
93 Penn State 0.6836 41 Georgetown 0.8012
97 Northwestern 0.6741 43 Louisville 0.7999
125 Minnesota 0.5948 46 Rutgers 0.7949
128 Purdue 0.5824 51 Notre Dame 0.7829
66 DePaul 0.7584
103 Seton Hall 0.6570
108 Providence 0.6371
139 St. John's 0.5614
257 South Florida 0.3030

Using the JCI information, the Big Ten would be expected to come out ahead 104 wins to 72 if the conference's played a massive round robin tournament between the two conferences on a neutral floor.  Taking the Big Ten's top 6 vs. the Big East's top 9 would be the next closest comparison, and the Big Ten would be expected to come out ahead in that match-up 33-21.  Taking the top 6 teams in the Big Ten against the top 7 in the Big East would be just about dead even, with a slight advantage still to the Big Ten.  And all of this is with Pitt likely having a higher JCI ranking than expected simply for the fact that they haven't lost yet.

It will be interesting to see how many teams get in from the Big East considering how massive the conference is.  Right now, they have 12 teams in the top 66 in the JCI.  They're all probably battling for 6 or 7 spots.

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