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Some JCI Fun Facts for My Friends at GW

3/17/2006

Draw your own conclusions.

Expected # of wins for an avg 8 seed (GW excluded) on GW's schedule: 23.11
Probability of an avg 8 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 7.16%

Expected # of wins for an avg 7 seed on GW's schedule: 23.48
Probability of an avg 7 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 10.76%

Expected # of wins for an avg 6 seed on GW's schedule: 24.26
Probability of an avg 6 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 22.08%

Expected # of wins for an avg 5 seed on GW's schedule: 24.41
Probability of an avg 5 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 24.81%

Expected # of wins for an avg 4 seed on GW's schedule: 25.25
Probability of an avg 4 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 45.48%

Expected # of wins for an avg 3 seed on GW's schedule: 25.71
Probability of an avg 3 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 59.41%

Expected # of wins for an avg 2 seed on GW's schedule: 25.50
Probability of an avg 2 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 52.73%

Expected # of wins for an avg 1 seed on GW's schedule: 27.03
Probability of an avg 1 seed winning 26 or more games given GW's schedule: 93.62%

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