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Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 1 Seeds

5/27/2008 0 comments
Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

Recap: The 3 Seeds
12. Stanford
11. Texas
10. Wisconsin
9. Arizona

Recap: The 2 Seeds
8. Illinois
7. Florida
6. Kentucky
5. North Carolina

THE ONE SEEDS
4. Michigan St - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 247-94; JCI Rk: 4 (Prev Rk:5); SOS: 3
2007-08: 27-9; JCI Rk: 15; SOS: 24; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 115-52; JCI Rk: 14; SOS: 9
First 5 Years: 132-42; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 2
NCAA Apperances: 10 (24 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 4
Elite 8's: 5
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0827-91524S16
2006-0723-122420L2
2005-0621-122910L1
2004-0526-756F4
2003-0418-124834L1
2002-0322-13214E8
2001-0218-123817L1
2000-0128-5417F4
1999-0032-713NC
1998-9932-535F4

3. Connecticut - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 255-82; JCI Rk: 3 (Prev Rk:3); SOS: 20
2007-08: 24-9; JCI Rk: 28; SOS: 52; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 127-41; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 25
First 5 Years: 128-41; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 20
NCAA Apperances: 8 (22 wins)
National Championships: 2
Final Fours: 2
Elite 8's: 4
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0824-92852L1
2006-0717-149576None
2005-0630-428E8
2004-0523-82134L2
2003-0433-6211NC
2002-0323-101515S16
2001-0227-7518E8
2000-0119-125567None
1999-0025-102012L2
1998-9934-2115NC

2. Kansas
Last 10 Years: 267-71; JCI Rk: 2 (Prev Rk:4); SOS: 18
2007-08: 36-3; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 6; Tourney: NC
Last 5 Years: 139-32; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 30
First 5 Years: 128-39; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 15
NCAA Apperances: 10 (25 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 5
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0836-316NC
2006-0733-5549E8
2005-0624-82874L1
2004-0523-71522L1
2003-0423-92027E8
2002-0328-851F4
2001-0231-428F4
2000-0124-71235S16
1999-0023-102620L2
1998-9922-102950L2

1. Duke
Last 10 Years: 298-55; JCI Rk: 1 (Prev Rk:1); SOS: 4
2007-08: 28-6; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 27; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 140-33; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 3
First 5 Years: 158-22; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 7
NCAA Apperances: 10 (26 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 8

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0828-6827L2
2006-0722-113121L1
2005-0632-4314S16
2004-0527-648S16
2003-0431-647F4
2002-0326-71026S16
2001-0231-4430S16
2000-0135-411NC
1999-0029-5222S16
1998-9937-229F4

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 2 Seeds

5/26/2008 0 comments
Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

Recap: The 3 Seeds
12. Stanford
11. Texas
10. Wisconsin
9. Arizona

THE TWO SEEDS
8. Illinois - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 242-99; JCI Rk: 8 (Prev Rk:8); SOS: 8
2007-08: 16-19; JCI Rk: 91; SOS: 34; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 128-47; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 31
First 5 Years: 114-52; JCI Rk: 11; SOS: 5
NCAA Apperances: 8 (15 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0816-199134None
2006-0723-125051L1
2005-0626-71237L2
2004-0537-2111F4
2003-0426-71739S16
2002-0325-71241L2
2001-0226-91015S16
2000-0127-854E8
1999-0022-10198L2
1998-9914-18462None

7. Florida
Last 10 Years: 258-83; JCI Rk: 7 (Prev Rk:9); SOS: 21
2007-08: 24-12; JCI Rk: 52; SOS: 94; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 136-42; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 15
First 5 Years: 122-41; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 27
NCAA Apperances: 9 (22 wins)
National Championships: 2
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0824-125294None
2006-0735-525NC
2005-0633-615NC
2004-0524-82245L2
2003-0420-112713L1
2002-0325-81435L2
2001-0222-92635L1
2000-0124-71442L2
1999-0029-8410F4
1998-9922-92143S16

6. Kentucky - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 244-92; JCI Rk: 6 (Prev Rk:2); SOS: 2
2007-08: 18-13; JCI Rk: 58; SOS: 47; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 117-49; JCI Rk: 12; SOS: 5
First 5 Years: 127-43; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 1
NCAA Apperances: 10 (17 wins)
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0818-135847L1
2006-0722-12171L2
2005-0622-13244L2
2004-0528-6725E8
2003-0427-5724L2
2002-0332-429E8
2001-0221-10174S16
2000-0124-10106S16
1999-0022-10155L2
1998-9928-978E8

5. North Carolina - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 241-100; JCI Rk: 5 (Prev Rk:7); SOS: 1
2007-08: 36-3; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 8; Tourney: F4
Last 5 Years: 142-33; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 1
First 5 Years: 99-67; JCI Rk: 22; SOS: 6
NCAA Apperances: 8 (20 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 4
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0836-338F4
2006-0731-777E8
2005-0623-81928L2
2004-0533-421NC
2003-0419-11143L2
2002-0319-164611None
2001-028-201537None
2000-0126-7616L2
1999-0022-14244F4
1998-9924-101520L1

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 3 Seeds

5/09/2008 0 comments
Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

THE THREE SEEDS
12. Stanford
Last 10 Years: 233-83; JCI Rk: 12 (Prev Rk:11); SOS: 34
2007-08: 28-8; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 10; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 110-50; JCI Rk: 25; SOS: 45
First 5 Years: 123-33; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 29
NCAA Apperances: 9 (10 wins)
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0828-8910S16
2006-0718-135215L1
2005-0616-147662None
2004-0518-134326L1
2003-0430-29111L2
2002-0324-92568L2
2001-0220-102110L2
2000-0129-3219E8
1999-0026-4658L2
1998-9924-71017L2

11. Texas
Last 10 Years: 245-93; JCI Rk: 11 (Prev Rk:15); SOS: 19
2007-08: 30-7; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 2; Tourney: E8
Last 5 Years: 129-43; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 19
First 5 Years: 116-50; JCI Rk: 16; SOS: 24
NCAA Apperances: 10 (16 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0830-752E8
2006-0725-102548L2
2005-0630-7933E8
2004-0519-114447L1
2003-0425-81120S16
2002-0326-765F4
2001-0222-12206S16
2000-0125-91751L1
1999-0024-91814L2
1998-9919-136774L1

10. Wisconsin
Last 10 Years: 234-95; JCI Rk: 10 (Prev Rk:13); SOS: 9
2007-08: 31-5; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 54; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 130-39; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 34
First 5 Years: 104-56; JCI Rk: 17; SOS: 4
NCAA Apperances: 10 (14 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0831-5754S16
2006-0730-6935L2
2005-0619-124942L1
2004-0525-91013E8
2003-0425-71843L2
2002-0324-81745S16
2001-0218-134122L2
2000-0118-11249L1
1999-0022-14141F4
1998-9922-10126L1

9. Arizona - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 236-92; JCI Rk: 9 (Prev Rk:6); SOS: 7
2007-08: 18-15; JCI Rk: 41; SOS: 1; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 108-56; JCI Rk: 23; SOS: 10
First 5 Years: 128-36; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 13
NCAA Apperances: 10 (15 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season
SeasonW-LJCI RkSOSNCAA
2007-0818-15411L1
2006-0720-11212L1
2005-0620-134118L2
2004-0530-7917E8
2003-0420-106690L1
2002-0328-4342E8
2001-0224-1072S16
2000-0127-832F4
1999-0027-71027L2
1998-9922-72055L1

 
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