Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 1 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

Recap: The 3 Seeds
12. Stanford
11. Texas
10. Wisconsin
9. Arizona

Recap: The 2 Seeds
8. Illinois
7. Florida
6. Kentucky
5. North Carolina

THE ONE SEEDS
4. Michigan St - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 247-94; JCI Rk: 4 (Prev Rk:5); SOS: 3
2007-08: 27-9; JCI Rk: 15; SOS: 24; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 115-52; JCI Rk: 14; SOS: 9
First 5 Years: 132-42; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 2
NCAA Apperances: 10 (24 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 4
Elite 8's: 5
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	27-9	15	24	S16
2006-07	23-12	24	20	L2
2005-06	21-12	29	10	L1
2004-05	26-7	5	6	F4
2003-04	18-12	48	34	L1
2002-03	22-13	21	4	E8
2001-02	18-12	38	17	L1
2000-01	28-5	4	17	F4
1999-00	32-7	1	3	NC
1998-99	32-5	3	5	F4

3. Connecticut - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 255-82; JCI Rk: 3 (Prev Rk:3); SOS: 20
2007-08: 24-9; JCI Rk: 28; SOS: 52; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 127-41; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 25
First 5 Years: 128-41; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 20
NCAA Apperances: 8 (22 wins)
National Championships: 2
Final Fours: 2
Elite 8's: 4
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	24-9	28	52	L1
2006-07	17-14	95	76	None
2005-06	30-4	2	8	E8
2004-05	23-8	21	34	L2
2003-04	33-6	2	11	NC
2002-03	23-10	15	15	S16
2001-02	27-7	5	18	E8
2000-01	19-12	55	67	None
1999-00	25-10	20	12	L2
1998-99	34-2	1	15	NC

2. Kansas
Last 10 Years: 267-71; JCI Rk: 2 (Prev Rk:4); SOS: 18
2007-08: 36-3; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 6; Tourney: NC
Last 5 Years: 139-32; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 30
First 5 Years: 128-39; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 15
NCAA Apperances: 10 (25 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 5
Sweet 16's: 6

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	36-3	1	6	NC
2006-07	33-5	5	49	E8
2005-06	24-8	28	74	L1
2004-05	23-7	15	22	L1
2003-04	23-9	20	27	E8
2002-03	28-8	5	1	F4
2001-02	31-4	2	8	F4
2000-01	24-7	12	35	S16
1999-00	23-10	26	20	L2
1998-99	22-10	29	50	L2

1. Duke
Last 10 Years: 298-55; JCI Rk: 1 (Prev Rk:1); SOS: 4
2007-08: 28-6; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 27; Tourney: L2
Last 5 Years: 140-33; JCI Rk: 2; SOS: 3
First 5 Years: 158-22; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 7
NCAA Apperances: 10 (26 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 8

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	28-6	8	27	L2
2006-07	22-11	31	21	L1
2005-06	32-4	3	14	S16
2004-05	27-6	4	8	S16
2003-04	31-6	4	7	F4
2002-03	26-7	10	26	S16
2001-02	31-4	4	30	S16
2000-01	35-4	1	1	NC
1999-00	29-5	2	22	S16
1998-99	37-2	2	9	F4

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 2 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

Recap: The 3 Seeds
12. Stanford
11. Texas
10. Wisconsin
9. Arizona

THE TWO SEEDS
8. Illinois - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 242-99; JCI Rk: 8 (Prev Rk:8); SOS: 8
2007-08: 16-19; JCI Rk: 91; SOS: 34; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 128-47; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 31
First 5 Years: 114-52; JCI Rk: 11; SOS: 5
NCAA Apperances: 8 (15 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	16-19	91	34	None
2006-07	23-12	50	51	L1
2005-06	26-7	12	37	L2
2004-05	37-2	1	11	F4
2003-04	26-7	17	39	S16
2002-03	25-7	12	41	L2
2001-02	26-9	10	15	S16
2000-01	27-8	5	4	E8
1999-00	22-10	19	8	L2
1998-99	14-18	46	2	None

7. Florida
Last 10 Years: 258-83; JCI Rk: 7 (Prev Rk:9); SOS: 21
2007-08: 24-12; JCI Rk: 52; SOS: 94; Tourney: None
Last 5 Years: 136-42; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 15
First 5 Years: 122-41; JCI Rk: 10; SOS: 27
NCAA Apperances: 9 (22 wins)
National Championships: 2
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	24-12	52	94	None
2006-07	35-5	2	5	NC
2005-06	33-6	1	5	NC
2004-05	24-8	22	45	L2
2003-04	20-11	27	13	L1
2002-03	25-8	14	35	L2
2001-02	22-9	26	35	L1
2000-01	24-7	14	42	L2
1999-00	29-8	4	10	F4
1998-99	22-9	21	43	S16

6. Kentucky - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 244-92; JCI Rk: 6 (Prev Rk:2); SOS: 2
2007-08: 18-13; JCI Rk: 58; SOS: 47; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 117-49; JCI Rk: 12; SOS: 5
First 5 Years: 127-43; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 1
NCAA Apperances: 10 (17 wins)
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	18-13	58	47	L1
2006-07	22-12	17	1	L2
2005-06	22-13	24	4	L2
2004-05	28-6	7	25	E8
2003-04	27-5	7	24	L2
2002-03	32-4	2	9	E8
2001-02	21-10	17	4	S16
2000-01	24-10	10	6	S16
1999-00	22-10	15	5	L2
1998-99	28-9	7	8	E8

5. North Carolina - ON THE RISE
Last 10 Years: 241-100; JCI Rk: 5 (Prev Rk:7); SOS: 1
2007-08: 36-3; JCI Rk: 3; SOS: 8; Tourney: F4
Last 5 Years: 142-33; JCI Rk: 1; SOS: 1
First 5 Years: 99-67; JCI Rk: 22; SOS: 6
NCAA Apperances: 8 (20 wins)
National Championships: 1
Final Fours: 3
Elite 8's: 4
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	36-3	3	8	F4
2006-07	31-7	7	7	E8
2005-06	23-8	19	28	L2
2004-05	33-4	2	1	NC
2003-04	19-11	14	3	L2
2002-03	19-16	46	11	None
2001-02	8-20	153	7	None
2000-01	26-7	6	16	L2
1999-00	22-14	24	4	F4
1998-99	24-10	15	20	L1

Top College Basketball Programs Over the Last 10 Years: The 3 Seeds

Just to get the methodology straight...the rankings are based on the average Colton Index ranking (body-of-work performance of wins and losses over an entire season, including postseason play) over the past 10 years. NCAA Tournament performance is weighted double (each game counts as two). Each season counts the same. To the extent that you don't agree with the rankings, it probably means that you weight these things differently. More than likely you weight recent performance and tournament performance more heavily, or internally rank teams on how you expect them to perform over the next 5-10 years. For each team, I show tournament performance by year as well as rankings for the first five years and last years so you can see how teams are trending and how the rankings might look differently if you adjusted the weights to suit your needs.

Recap: The 9 Seeds
36. Iowa
35. Marquette
34. Oregon
33. Alabama

Recap: The 8 Seeds
32. North Carolina St
31. Mississippi St
30. Georgetown
29. Xavier

Recap: The 7 Seeds
28. Notre Dame
27. Villanova
26. Cincinnati
25. Louisville

Recap: The 6 Seeds
24. Wake Forest
23. Indiana
22. Tennessee
21. Memphis

Recap: The 5 Seeds
20. Oklahoma St
19. Pittsburgh
18. UCLA
17. Oklahoma

Recap: The 4 Seeds
16. Syracuse
15. Ohio State
14. Gonzaga
13. Maryland

THE THREE SEEDS
12. Stanford
Last 10 Years: 233-83; JCI Rk: 12 (Prev Rk:11); SOS: 34
2007-08: 28-8; JCI Rk: 9; SOS: 10; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 110-50; JCI Rk: 25; SOS: 45
First 5 Years: 123-33; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 29
NCAA Apperances: 9 (10 wins)
Elite 8's: 1
Sweet 16's: 2

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	28-8	9	10	S16
2006-07	18-13	52	15	L1
2005-06	16-14	76	62	None
2004-05	18-13	43	26	L1
2003-04	30-2	9	111	L2
2002-03	24-9	25	68	L2
2001-02	20-10	21	10	L2
2000-01	29-3	2	19	E8
1999-00	26-4	6	58	L2
1998-99	24-7	10	17	L2

11. Texas
Last 10 Years: 245-93; JCI Rk: 11 (Prev Rk:15); SOS: 19
2007-08: 30-7; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 2; Tourney: E8
Last 5 Years: 129-43; JCI Rk: 8; SOS: 19
First 5 Years: 116-50; JCI Rk: 16; SOS: 24
NCAA Apperances: 10 (16 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 5

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	30-7	5	2	E8
2006-07	25-10	25	48	L2
2005-06	30-7	9	33	E8
2004-05	19-11	44	47	L1
2003-04	25-8	11	20	S16
2002-03	26-7	6	5	F4
2001-02	22-12	20	6	S16
2000-01	25-9	17	51	L1
1999-00	24-9	18	14	L2
1998-99	19-13	67	74	L1

10. Wisconsin
Last 10 Years: 234-95; JCI Rk: 10 (Prev Rk:13); SOS: 9
2007-08: 31-5; JCI Rk: 7; SOS: 54; Tourney: S16
Last 5 Years: 130-39; JCI Rk: 6; SOS: 34
First 5 Years: 104-56; JCI Rk: 17; SOS: 4
NCAA Apperances: 10 (14 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 2
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	31-5	7	54	S16
2006-07	30-6	9	35	L2
2005-06	19-12	49	42	L1
2004-05	25-9	10	13	E8
2003-04	25-7	18	43	L2
2002-03	24-8	17	45	S16
2001-02	18-13	41	22	L2
2000-01	18-11	24	9	L1
1999-00	22-14	14	1	F4
1998-99	22-10	12	6	L1

9. Arizona - ON THE DECLINE
Last 10 Years: 236-92; JCI Rk: 9 (Prev Rk:6); SOS: 7
2007-08: 18-15; JCI Rk: 41; SOS: 1; Tourney: L1
Last 5 Years: 108-56; JCI Rk: 23; SOS: 10
First 5 Years: 128-36; JCI Rk: 5; SOS: 13
NCAA Apperances: 10 (15 wins)
Final Fours: 1
Elite 8's: 3
Sweet 16's: 4

Performance by Season

Season	W-L	JCI Rk	SOS	NCAA
2007-08	18-15	41	1	L1
2006-07	20-11	21	2	L1
2005-06	20-13	41	18	L2
2004-05	30-7	9	17	E8
2003-04	20-10	66	90	L1
2002-03	28-4	3	42	E8
2001-02	24-10	7	2	S16
2000-01	27-8	3	2	F4
1999-00	27-7	10	27	L2
1998-99	22-7	20	55	L1